November 30, 2023

Biden Lags Behind Trump Ahead of 2024

President Joe Biden is trailing behind former President Donald Trump with seemingly voters in Michigan lower than a 12 months out from the 2024 election. 

Forty-one p.c of 600 seemingly voters polled within the Great Lakes State support Biden in comparison with 46 p.c who support Trump, an EPIC-MRA of Lansing ballot launched Saturday found. The margin of error is ±4 proportion factors. 

Former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks at a marketing campaign rally at Drake Enterprises, an automotive elements producer, on September 27, 2023, in Clinton Township, Michigan. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)

“Democrats ought to be aware there is a growing possibility that Donald Trump may become president again,” EPIC-MRA pollster Bernie Porn told the Detroit Free Press. He mentioned support for Biden within the state has eroded for the reason that agency’s final ballot in August, when Biden narrowly led Trump 46 p.c to 45 p.c. 

“I think it’s his (Biden’s) age and comparative perceptions of him versus Trump,” Porn mentioned. “People are dismissing the Bidenomics approach — they’re not impressed with that messaging … It could well be very difficult for Biden to do the things needed to recover.”

The ballot discovered eroding support for Biden in key voting blocs. For occasion, whereas Democrats push abortion as a key concern, the survey discovered 28 p.c of voters who determine as “pro-choice” support Trump, in comparison with 58 p.c for Biden.

The survey additionally indicated a considerable drop in black voters’ support of Biden. In 2020, exit polls showed 92 p.c of black voters within the state voted for Biden, whereas 7 p.c voted for Trump. The new ballot reveals simply 62 p.c of black seemingly voters support Biden, and 17 p.c support Trump. Twenty-one p.c of black seemingly voters are undecided.

Trump additionally leads Biden amongst impartial voters, the ballot discovered. While 38 p.c of impartial voters are undecided, 45 p.c support Trump and 18 support Biden.

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“And among the relatively small number of union members contacted for the survey, 47 percent supported Trump, compared to 40 percent for Biden and 13 percent undecided, despite the fact that Biden this fall became the first president to walk a picket line as the UAW struck the Detroit Three automakers for better wages and benefits,” the Free Press reported. 

Trump is main Biden amongst all age teams besides voters over 65, 46 p.c to 37 p.c with 17 p.c undecided. The survey discovered that 48 p.c of seemingly Michigan voters ages 18 to 34 support Trump over Biden (35 p.c). Voters ages 35 to 49 support Trump 46 p.c and Biden 39 p.c, and 54 p.c of voters ages 50 to 64 support Trump, in comparison with 34 p.c who support Biden. 

“Biden retained a marked edge among college-educated voters, 49 percent to 37 percent with 13 percent undecided. But that’s well below the 17-point margin he had with those voters in the 2020 election,” in keeping with the report. “Trump led among the larger cohort of voters without a college education 52 percent to 35 percent with 13 percent undecided. In 2020, Trump only had a five-point edge with those voters.”