February 26, 2024

Nevada is the next contest of the 2024 GOP primary calendar. Here’s why it doesn’t matter

Nevada is the next state to vote for the Republican nominee for president however you might be forgiven for lacking that truth, given the lack of media consideration.

Both Nikki Haley and Donald Trump, the solely two outstanding contenders remaining in the battle for his or her get together’s nomination, are technically on the poll in Nevada.

But they’re on completely different ones — Ms Haley has already competed in the state’s primary, dropping embarrassingly on Tuesday to “none of these candidates”, whereas Mr Trump is operating in Thursday’s caucus, his sole remaining challenger being the obscure Texas pastor Ryan Binkley.

That means the entrance two won’t really be “against” one another in the Silver State as a result of whereas Republican voters can select to take part in each the primary and the caucus, the candidates can not.

It is a bewildering system that has virtually totally sapped the state’s political relevance for the 2024 primary season.

And it’s all due to 2020, when a delay in the outcomes led to many Democratic political leaders in the state, together with the late Harry Reid, pushing for the state to desert the caucus system in favour of a primary.

Only, they didn’t: Nevada now has each.

This is as a result of the state’s Republicans unsuccessfully fought in court docket to cease the primary from going ahead, having opposed the swap. They misplaced and a decide dominated final yr that each contests may happen — the state GOP left to determine easy methods to allocate delegates to the individuals by itself.

Unsurprisingly, the Nevada Republican Party selected to award these delegates to the winner of the caucus, which can be Mr Trump, given Ms Haley’s non-participation.

The former president will subsequently stroll out of the state with up 26 delegates and with out having to do a lot by manner of campaigning in opposition to his rival.

He has, nonetheless, rallied in the Silver State since New Hampshire, not least as a result of it can have a renewed significance come November’s normal election.

Mr Trump will hardly have forgotten that Nevada flipped from purple to blue in 2020 and helped usher in Joe Biden’s victory.

For that purpose, the Biden marketing campaign is already eyeing up the state as properly.

His vp Kamala Harris was on the town for a marketing campaign rally lately, held only a brief distance away from Mr Trump’s personal on the identical day.

In Ms Haley’s case, the actual battle in the days forward stays South Carolina.

She hopes her dwelling state, the place she served two phrases as governor, will present the stage for a serious upset in opposition to Mr Trump, with out which her claims to be a severe contender for the nomination would start to look slim certainly.

The front-runner in the meantime continues to keep up a powerful lead in each the opinion polls and in the delegate battle, the latter required to safe the nomination itself.

Recognising this, Ms Haley’s marketing campaign is focusing most of its consideration on the Palmetto State’s primary on 24 February.

She has vowed to stay in the race previous South Carolina no matter occurs, though her path to victory stays a steep climb after a second-place end in New Hamsphire, the place she failed to return inside single digits of Mr Trump.