February 20, 2024

PFT’s 2023 NFL Super Bowl LVIII picks, Florio vs. Simms

The competitors is ending, and there’s no competitors in anyway as to our closing choices of the 12 months.

Chris Simms and I each agree on the winner of Super Bowl LVIII: Kansas City Chiefs.

The picks had been made on the dwell joint podcast from the Mandalay Bay sportsbook on Wednesday night time. If you haven’t seen it, you should. If solely to witness how effectively Chris carried out whereas admittedly within the aftermath of the just a little smoky-smoke and greater than just a little drinky-drink.

Sorry to everybody who believes the sport might be rigged to ship a victory to Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce. Sorry to those that really consider Swift and Kelce are a part of a deep-state effort to rig the election. Sorry, most significantly, to 49ers followers who noticed 5 Super Bowl wins within the first 29 installments of the sport and are hoping for only one to cap the second 29 editions of it.

Last 12 months, I believed that the Eagles had been the higher workforce, however that the Chiefs had Patrick Mahomes. So I picked the Chiefs.

This 12 months, it’s the identical feeling, besides it’s not clear whether or not the 49ers are at present higher. At one level within the season, it appeared as if the 49ers would steamroll anybody/everybody so long as their nucleus of key gamers remained wholesome. The 49ers bought their impolite awakening on Christmas night time at dwelling towards the Ravens, when Baltimore did to San Francisco what many (Mike Flores/Florist included) thought San Francisco would do to Baltimore.

The Chiefs additionally misplaced at dwelling that day, to the Raiders. For Kansas City, it was a wake-up name that sparked an ascension. They beat the Bengals six days later and simply saved getting higher and higher and higher.

The 49ers, whereas capable of intestine out dwelling playoff wins in dramatic, come-from-behind vogue, are nonetheless dog-paddling towards presumably being what they had been, earlier within the 12 months.

Can they get it again by Sunday? That’s the query.

Even if they will, will it’s sufficient to beat Mahomes, who’s fixated (even when he gained’t admit it) on catching Tom Brady’s seven Super Bowl wins?

On Friday’s PFT Live, Devin McCourty defined the very actual feeling that emerges for a protection when trying to cling to a late lead towards somebody like Mahomes. It’s a tangible, but intangible, side of aggressive sports activities. One workforce is aware of issues are going to interrupt for them, and the opposite workforce is aware of that they’re about to be damaged.

The San Francisco protection might want to devise and implement an epic recreation plan, particularly since there’s no strategy to plan for Mahomes improvising and gamers like Kelce merely discovering the spots the place defenders aren’t. The Kansas City protection additionally must be able to account for the potential for quarterback Brock Purdy operating with the ball. (McCourty was nice when explaining how Bill Belichick and the Patriots would have handled that.)

There’s additionally an opportunity for one thing we don’t see fairly often in Super Bowls — a lopsided recreation. If the 49ers fall behind by three scores in Las Vegas, like they did at dwelling towards the Lions, the Chiefs might be far much less possible to present San Francisco an opportunity to get again into the sport.

Chris has the ultimate rating at 23-20, Chiefs. (It appears to be like like an emotional hedge to me, since he’s rooting for the 49ers and his buddy Kyle Shanahan.) I had a dream this week that the Chiefs will win by 10, so I went with Chiefs, 30-20.

For the 12 months, Chris gained the ATS competitors by 4 video games. I gained the straight-up contest by 4. And I narrowly gained the “best bets” back-and-forth by one recreation.

Thanks to all who watched the weekly Joint Mega Picks Podcast, and who learn the weekly posts with our recreation picks. Please don’t depend on us when betting, and please, please, please by no means deal with betting as something aside from a type of leisure for which you employ discretionary revenue that in any other case could be used to buy the stuff Chris was smoking and ingesting earlier than (and through) Wednesday’s present.