June 13, 2024

Trump Leads Biden by 6 Points as He Dominates with Independents

The newest Harvard-Harris ballot reveals former President Donald Trump leads President Joe Biden by six factors nationally in a hypothetical head-to-head race.

The ballot, published Monday, finds Trump with a 49 % to 43 % edge over Biden, with lower than six months to go till the November 5 election. Eight % of respondents have been undecided.

When undecided voters have been pushed to pick out the candidate they leaned towards and included with the remainder of the pattern, Trump led 53 % to 47 %. His six-point benefit is a two-percent improve in comparison with April, when he led Biden 52 % to 48 % with leaners included.

Republicans coalesced behind the previous president at the next fee than Democrats bought behind Biden, indicating enthusiasm is stronger among the many GOP.

With leaners included, the forty fifth president garnered the support of 95 % of GOP voters, whereas Biden corraled 91 % of Democrats. Nearly one in ten Democrats broke for Trump, however only one in twenty Republicans supported Biden.

Moreover, Trump leads Biden 56 % to 44 % with unaffiliated and third-party voters.

His edge over Biden drops one level when impartial presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is added to the combo.

Trump registers at 45 %, adopted by Biden at 40 % and RFK Jr. at 14 % with leaners accounted for.

Looking at Republican voters, 86 % support the presumptive GOP nominee, 8 % again Kennedy, and 6 % again Biden. Biden leads with Democrats at 79 %, whereas Kennedy and Trump pull 14 % and seven %, respectively.

WATCH — Conservatives BEWARE: Watch the Crazy Leftist Statements RFK Jr. Has Made

The forty fifth president nonetheless comfortably leads Biden amongst independents, 44 % to 34 %. Another 22 % of the demographic supported Kennedy on this state of affairs.

Moreover, the ballot additionally discovered that the presidential race would stay extraordinarily aggressive in three eventualities by which Trump was hypothetically convicted in both the paperwork case, the January 6 case, or the Georgia election case:

Documents Case:

Georgia Election Case:

January 6 Case:

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Matt Perdie / Breitbart News

The ballot reveals that 69 % of voters have made up their minds about who they may vote for, whereas 31 % are nonetheless contemplating their choices. The next proportion of Republican voters (78 %) are set on a candidate than Democrat voters (70 %). A majority of independents (56 %) have made up their minds, although 44 % are contemplating a number of candidates.

The survey sampled 1,660 registered voters on May 15 and 16. The margin of error is plus or minus two proportion factors.